CAOS Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CAOS sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

CAOS saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on February 02, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 30 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CAOS moved out of overbought territory on January 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 33 cases where CAOS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CAOS as a result. In of 48 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CAOS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CAOS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

CAOS moved above its 50-day moving average on January 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CAOS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 5 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CAOS advanced for three days, in of 179 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .