BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

BLV sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

BLV saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 15, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where BLV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BLV as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BLV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BLV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

BLV moved above its 50-day moving average on July 18, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 50-day moving average for BLV moved above the 200-day moving average on August 06, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BLV advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 210 cases where BLV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .