BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for BLV shows an upward move is likely

BLV's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on July 03, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 198 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 198 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 04, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BLV as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BLV just turned positive on May 28, 2025. Looking at past instances where BLV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BLV moved above its 50-day moving average on June 11, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BLV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BLV advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BLV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BLV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.