BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

BLV's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BLV moved out of overbought territory on October 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 25 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BLV turned negative on December 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

BLV moved below its 50-day moving average on December 01, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BLV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BLV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BLV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for BLV entered a downward trend on November 28, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 21, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BLV as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BLV advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .