AVA Stock Avista (AVA, $35.04) RSI Indicator left the oversold zone on June 07, 2024

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AVA - Avista Corp

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Odds of UP Trend

Price: $35.04

Daily change: -$0.49 (-1.38%)

Daily volume: 565.1K

Capitalization: $2.7B

Industry: Electric Utilities

AVA in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on November 01, 2024

AVA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 40 cases where AVA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AVA's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AVA just turned positive on November 12, 2024. Looking at past instances where AVA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVA advanced for three days, in of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AVA as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AVA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AVA entered a downward trend on November 05, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.092) is normal, around the industry mean (1.714). P/E Ratio (15.491) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.466). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.954) is also within normal values, averaging (2.620). Dividend Yield (0.054) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.515) is also within normal values, averaging (3.109).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AVA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AVA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock worse than average.