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ARI
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Jul 25 closing price
Price
$9.86
Change
+$0.04 (+0.41%)
Capitalization
1.58B

ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc is a real estate investment trust that primarily originates, invests in, acquires, and manages commercial first-mortgage loans, subordinate financings, commercial mortgage-backed securities, and other real estate-related debt investments... Show more

ARI
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ARI with price predictions
Jul 25, 2025

ARI's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ARI moved out of overbought territory on July 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 37 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 17, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARI as a result. In of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ARI turned negative on July 17, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ARI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where ARI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARI advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 287 cases where ARI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.704) is normal, around the industry mean (1.997). P/E Ratio (37.724) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.028). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.328) is also within normal values, averaging (6.654). ARI has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.128) as compared to the industry average of (0.070). P/S Ratio (5.811) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058).

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ARI
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

ARI is expected to report earnings to rise 5.04% to 25 cents per share on July 29

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance ARI Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'25
Est.
$0.25
Q1'25
Beat
by $0.02
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.09
Q3'24
Missed
by $0.80
Q2'24
Beat
by $0.05
The last earnings report on April 24 showed earnings per share of 23 cents, beating the estimate of 21 cents. With 456.71K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 1.58B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

ARI paid dividends on July 15, 2025

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance ARI Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.25 per share was paid with a record date of July 15, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of June 30, 2025. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a real estate investment trust

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Address
c/o Apollo Global Management, Inc
Phone
+1 212 515-3200
Employees
N/A
Web
https://www.apollocref.com
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ARI and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARI has been closely correlated with STWD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARI jumps, then STWD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ARI
1D Price
Change %
ARI100%
+0.41%
STWD - ARI
70%
Closely correlated
+0.86%
BXMT - ARI
68%
Closely correlated
+0.31%
LADR - ARI
68%
Closely correlated
-0.71%
RITM - ARI
66%
Closely correlated
-0.33%
FBRT - ARI
66%
Closely correlated
-0.29%
More

Groups containing ARI

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ARI
1D Price
Change %
ARI100%
+0.41%
ARI
(17 stocks)
79%
Closely correlated
+0.28%