ARB AltShares Merger Arbitrage ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to provide investment results that closely correspond, before fees and expenses, to the performance of its underlying index, the Water Island Merger Arbitrage USD Hedged Index... Show more
ARB in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 16, 2025
ARB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 26 cases where ARB's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARB advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where ARB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 06, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARB as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ARB turned negative on November 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
ARB moved below its 50-day moving average on November 12, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for ARB entered a downward trend on October 21, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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General Information
Category Trading
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ARB and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that ARB and MNA have been poorly correlated (+29% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that ARB and MNA's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARB | 100% | -0.11% | ||
| MNA - ARB | 29% Poorly correlated | -0.08% | ||
| GDL - ARB | 25% Poorly correlated | +0.21% | ||
| EVNT - ARB | 23% Poorly correlated | +0.17% | ||
| MARB - ARB | 11% Poorly correlated | +0.03% | ||
| MRGR - ARB | -0% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
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