ARB AltShares Merger Arbitrage ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to provide investment results that closely correspond, before fees and expenses, to the performance of its underlying index, the Water Island Merger Arbitrage USD Hedged Index... Show more
ARB in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025
ARB moved above its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 38 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ARB as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ARB just turned positive on November 25, 2025. Looking at past instances where ARB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARB advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for ARB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
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General Information
Category Trading
ARB and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that ARB and MNA have been poorly correlated (+29% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that ARB and MNA's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARB | 100% | +0.05% | ||
| MNA - ARB | 29% Poorly correlated | -0.03% | ||
| GDL - ARB | 25% Poorly correlated | -1.27% | ||
| EVNT - ARB | 24% Poorly correlated | +0.29% | ||
| MARB - ARB | 11% Poorly correlated | +0.13% | ||
| SPCX - ARB | 2% Poorly correlated | -0.39% | ||
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