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AMAT Stock Applied Materials (AMAT, $217.49) price may drop as it broke higher Bollinger Band on May 15, 2024

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
05/16/24
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AMAT - Applied Materials
Bollinger signal
Bearish Trend
Odds of DOWN Trend
Tickeron
Bollinger signal
Price: $217.49
Daily change: +$7.67 (+3.66%)
Daily volume: 5.8M
Industry: Semiconductors
This price move could be a signal that AMAT may fall back below the higher band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor backtested 52 similar cases where AMAT's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:

Momentum Indicator for AMAT turns negative, indicating new downward trend

AMAT saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 12, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 89 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 89 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 69 cases where AMAT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AMAT moved below its 50-day moving average on November 11, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AMAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMAT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AMAT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 07, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMAT just turned positive on November 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where AMAT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMAT advanced for three days, in of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 256 cases where AMAT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.950) is normal, around the industry mean (8.303). P/E Ratio (24.546) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.155). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.493) is also within normal values, averaging (3.078). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.631) is also within normal values, averaging (47.009).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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AMAT
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General Information

a manufacturer of equipment and software for the semiconductor industries

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Electronic Production Equipment
Address
3050 Bowers Avenue
Phone
+1 408 727-5555
Employees
34000
Web
https://www.appliedmaterials.com