MENU
+Compare
ALRM
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
Apr 25 closing price
Price
$53.04
Change
+$0.50 (+0.95%)
Capitalization
3.62B

ALRM Alarm.com Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Alarm... Show more

ALRM
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
Ad is loading...
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ALRM with price predictions
Apr 22, 2025

ALRM sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

ALRM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on March 28, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ALRM entered a downward trend on April 16, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ALRM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 52 cases where ALRM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 22, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ALRM as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALRM advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ALRM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.163) is normal, around the industry mean (30.788). P/E Ratio (46.510) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.952). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.422) is also within normal values, averaging (2.707). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.409) is also within normal values, averaging (59.681).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ALRM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

View a ticker or compare two or three
ALRM
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
Ad is loading...
A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

ALRM is expected to report earnings to fall 12.28% to 50 cents per share on May 08

Alarm.com Holdings ALRM Stock Earnings Reports
Q1'25
Est.
$0.51
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.05
Q3'24
Beat
by $0.13
Q2'24
Beat
by $0.09
Q1'24
Beat
by $0.02
The last earnings report on February 20 showed earnings per share of 57 cents, beating the estimate of 52 cents. With 283.49K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.62B.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company and Provides wireless and web-enabled security system technology

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Information Technology Services
Address
8281 Greensboro Drive
Phone
+1 877 389-4033
Employees
1989
Web
https://www.alarm.com
Interesting Tickers
1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
1 Day
STOCK / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
TSLA259.518.77
+3.50%
Tesla
SPY546.6911.27
+2.10%
SPDR® S&P 500® ETF
AAPL208.373.77
+1.84%
Apple
BTC.X93943.800000244.687500
+0.26%
Bitcoin cryptocurrency
GME27.08-0.04
-0.15%
GameStop Corp

ALRM and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALRM has been loosely correlated with FIVN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALRM jumps, then FIVN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ALRM
1D Price
Change %
ALRM100%
+1.49%
FIVN - ALRM
53%
Loosely correlated
+6.21%
WK - ALRM
51%
Loosely correlated
+3.85%
BRZE - ALRM
50%
Loosely correlated
+7.02%
PTC - ALRM
50%
Loosely correlated
+2.67%
ALKT - ALRM
50%
Loosely correlated
+1.18%
More