ALHC Alignment Healthcare Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ALHC in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on July 24, 2025

ALHC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 31 cases where ALHC's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 31, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ALHC as a result. In of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ALHC just turned positive on July 30, 2025. Looking at past instances where ALHC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 36 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ALHC moved above its 50-day moving average on August 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ALHC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALHC advanced for three days, in of 262 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for ALHC moved below the 200-day moving average on July 28, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALHC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ALHC entered a downward trend on July 30, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALHC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ALHC's P/B Ratio (21.142) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.791). ALHC has a moderately low P/E Ratio (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (16.679). ALHC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (0.974). ALHC's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.024). P/S Ratio (0.887) is also within normal values, averaging (0.612).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALHC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.