AAOI Applied Optoelectronics Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

AAOI in +19.55% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on December 11, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where AAOI advanced for three days, in of 262 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AAOI as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAOI just turned positive on November 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where AAOI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AAOI moved above its 50-day moving average on December 09, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 10-day moving average for AAOI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 13, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAOI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AAOI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AAOI entered a downward trend on December 03, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AAOI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.915) is normal, around the industry mean (5.442). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (48.601). AAOI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.206). AAOI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (4.112) is also within normal values, averaging (29.247).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.