UPS
Price
$108.62
Change
+$1.22 (+1.14%)
Updated
Jan 15, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
91.12B
12 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XPO
Price
$154.48
Change
+$4.32 (+2.88%)
Updated
Jan 15, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
17.63B
21 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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UPS vs XPO

Header iconUPS vs XPO Comparison
Open Charts UPS vs XPOBanner chart's image
United Parcel Service
Price$108.62
Change+$1.22 (+1.14%)
Volume$34.02K
Capitalization91.12B
XPO
Price$154.48
Change+$4.32 (+2.88%)
Volume$26.33K
Capitalization17.63B
UPS vs XPO Comparison Chart in %
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VS
UPS vs. XPO commentary
Jan 16, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is UPS is a Hold and XPO is a Hold.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Jan 16, 2026
Stock price -- (UPS: $107.40 vs. XPO: $150.16)
Brand notoriety: UPS: Notable vs. XPO: Not notable
UPS represents the Other Transportation, while XPO is part of the Trucking industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: UPS: 69% vs. XPO: 122%
Market capitalization -- UPS: $91.12B vs. XPO: $17.63B
UPS [@Other Transportation] is valued at $91.12B. XPO’s [@Trucking] market capitalization is $17.63B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Other Transportation] industry ranges from $91.12B to $0. The market cap for tickers in the [@Trucking] industry ranges from $36.28B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Other Transportation] industry is $10.53B. The average market capitalization across the [@Trucking] industry is $4.87B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

UPS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileXPO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).

  • UPS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • XPO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
According to our system of comparison, XPO is a better buy in the long-term than UPS.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

UPS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XPO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • UPS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • XPO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, XPO is a better buy in the short-term than UPS.

Price Growth

UPS (@Other Transportation) experienced а +1.89% price change this week, while XPO (@Trucking) price change was +4.35% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was +1.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.02%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.75%.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was +2.94%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.16%.

Reported Earning Dates

UPS is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2026.

XPO is expected to report earnings on Feb 05, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Other Transportation (+1.68% weekly)

Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.

@Trucking (+2.94% weekly)

The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
UPS($91.1B) has a higher market cap than XPO($17.6B). XPO has higher P/E ratio than UPS: XPO (54.01) vs UPS (16.60). XPO YTD gains are higher at: 10.485 vs. UPS (8.277). UPS has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 11.6B vs. XPO (1.18B). UPS has more cash in the bank: 6.83B vs. XPO (335M). XPO has less debt than UPS: XPO (4.11B) vs UPS (29.2B). UPS has higher revenues than XPO: UPS (89.5B) vs XPO (8.07B).
UPSXPOUPS / XPO
Capitalization91.1B17.6B518%
EBITDA11.6B1.18B984%
Gain YTD8.27710.48579%
P/E Ratio16.6054.0131%
Revenue89.5B8.07B1,109%
Total Cash6.83B335M2,039%
Total Debt29.2B4.11B710%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
UPS vs XPO: Fundamental Ratings
UPS
XPO
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
136
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
60
Fair valued
89
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
10030
SMR RATING
1..100
2747
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
4750
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
6927
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
5050

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

UPS's Valuation (60) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (89) in the Trucking industry. This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.

XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Trucking industry is significantly better than the same rating for UPS (100) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew significantly faster than UPS’s over the last 12 months.

UPS's SMR Rating (27) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (47) in the Trucking industry. This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.

UPS's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (50) in the Trucking industry. This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.

XPO's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UPS (69) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew somewhat faster than UPS’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
UPSXPO
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
50%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
70%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
79%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
73%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
58%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
75%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
56%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
59%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
52%
Bearish Trend 8 days ago
67%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
53%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
45%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
74%
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UPS
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
XPO
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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UPS and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UPS has been closely correlated with FDX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UPS jumps, then FDX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To UPS
1D Price
Change %
UPS100%
+0.77%
FDX - UPS
68%
Closely correlated
+1.26%
XPO - UPS
64%
Loosely correlated
+2.00%
LSTR - UPS
62%
Loosely correlated
+0.63%
HUBG - UPS
57%
Loosely correlated
+0.79%
JBHT - UPS
50%
Loosely correlated
+0.31%
More

XPO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPO has been closely correlated with FWRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPO jumps, then FWRD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XPO
1D Price
Change %
XPO100%
+2.00%
FWRD - XPO
75%
Closely correlated
+1.55%
ODFL - XPO
74%
Closely correlated
+1.09%
ARCB - XPO
73%
Closely correlated
+2.74%
SAIA - XPO
72%
Closely correlated
+0.46%
GXO - XPO
71%
Closely correlated
-0.96%
More