CTXAY
Price
$38.94
Change
-$0.79 (-1.99%)
Updated
Jan 14 closing price
Capitalization
4.62B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
UGP
Price
$4.12
Change
+$0.05 (+1.23%)
Updated
Jan 15, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
4.29B
41 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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CTXAY vs UGP

Header iconCTXAY vs UGP Comparison
Open Charts CTXAY vs UGPBanner chart's image
Ampol
Price$38.94
Change-$0.79 (-1.99%)
Volume$663
Capitalization4.62B
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
Price$4.12
Change+$0.05 (+1.23%)
Volume$14.28K
Capitalization4.29B
CTXAY vs UGP Comparison Chart in %
CTXAY
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
UGP
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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VS
CTXAY vs. UGP commentary
Jan 16, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CTXAY is a Hold and UGP is a Hold.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Jan 16, 2026
Stock price -- (CTXAY: $38.94 vs. UGP: $4.06)
Brand notoriety: CTXAY and UGP are both not notable
Both companies represent the Oil Refining/Marketing industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: CTXAY: 38% vs. UGP: 77%
Market capitalization -- CTXAY: $4.62B vs. UGP: $4.29B
CTXAY [@Oil Refining/Marketing] is valued at $4.62B. UGP’s [@Oil Refining/Marketing] market capitalization is $4.29B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Oil Refining/Marketing] industry ranges from $56.97B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Oil Refining/Marketing] industry is $8.01B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

CTXAY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileUGP’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).

  • CTXAY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • UGP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
According to our system of comparison, UGP is a better buy in the long-term than CTXAY.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

CTXAY’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UGP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • CTXAY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • UGP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, UGP is a better buy in the short-term than CTXAY.

Price Growth

CTXAY (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а -4.85% price change this week, while UGP (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was +6.01% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was +1.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.61%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.21%.

Reported Earning Dates

UGP is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Oil Refining/Marketing (+1.37% weekly)

The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
CTXAY($4.63B) has a higher market cap than UGP($4.29B). CTXAY has higher P/E ratio than UGP: CTXAY (57.00) vs UGP (8.13). UGP YTD gains are higher at: 7.692 vs. CTXAY (-8.064). UGP has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 8.39B vs. CTXAY (596M). UGP has higher revenues than CTXAY: UGP (140B) vs CTXAY (31.8B).
CTXAYUGPCTXAY / UGP
Capitalization4.63B4.29B108%
EBITDA596M8.39B7%
Gain YTD-8.0647.692-105%
P/E Ratio57.008.13701%
Revenue31.8B140B23%
Total CashN/AN/A-
Total DebtN/AN/A-
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
UGP: Fundamental Ratings
UGP
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
29
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
10
Undervalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
92
SMR RATING
1..100
47
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
42
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
30
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
75

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
CTXAYUGP
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
66%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
65%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
79%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
53%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
59%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
60%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
65%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
59%
Bearish Trend about 1 month ago
75%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
61%
N/A
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CTXAY
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
UGP
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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CTXAY and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that CTXAY and CLNE have been poorly correlated (+27% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that CTXAY and CLNE's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To CTXAY
1D Price
Change %
CTXAY100%
-2.00%
CLNE - CTXAY
27%
Poorly correlated
+1.81%
CSAN - CTXAY
27%
Poorly correlated
-1.53%
UGP - CTXAY
27%
Poorly correlated
+1.75%
AMTX - CTXAY
26%
Poorly correlated
+0.64%
DKL - CTXAY
25%
Poorly correlated
-0.74%
More

UGP and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UGP has been loosely correlated with CSAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if UGP jumps, then CSAN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To UGP
1D Price
Change %
UGP100%
+1.75%
CSAN - UGP
56%
Loosely correlated
-1.53%
DK - UGP
35%
Loosely correlated
+1.86%
PSX - UGP
32%
Poorly correlated
+2.68%
DKL - UGP
32%
Poorly correlated
-0.74%
IEP - UGP
31%
Poorly correlated
+0.51%
More