CAKE
Price
$51.65
Change
+$0.56 (+1.10%)
Updated
Dec 24 closing price
Capitalization
2.57B
62 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
FWRG
Price
$15.79
Change
+$0.21 (+1.35%)
Updated
Dec 24 closing price
Capitalization
963.7M
75 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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CAKE vs FWRG

Header iconCAKE vs FWRG Comparison
Open Charts CAKE vs FWRGBanner chart's image
Cheesecake Factory
Price$51.65
Change+$0.56 (+1.10%)
Volume$337.36K
Capitalization2.57B
First Watch Restaurant Group
Price$15.79
Change+$0.21 (+1.35%)
Volume$379.04K
Capitalization963.7M
CAKE vs FWRG Comparison Chart in %
CAKE
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
FWRG
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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VS
CAKE vs. FWRG commentary
Dec 25, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAKE is a Buy and FWRG is a Hold.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Dec 25, 2025
Stock price -- (CAKE: $51.65 vs. FWRG: $15.79)
Brand notoriety: CAKE and FWRG are both not notable
Both companies represent the Restaurants industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: CAKE: 26% vs. FWRG: 32%
Market capitalization -- CAKE: $2.57B vs. FWRG: $963.7M
CAKE [@Restaurants] is valued at $2.57B. FWRG’s [@Restaurants] market capitalization is $963.7M. The market cap for tickers in the [@Restaurants] industry ranges from $223.14B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Restaurants] industry is $7.94B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

CAKE’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileFWRG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • CAKE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
  • FWRG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, CAKE is a better buy in the long-term than FWRG.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

CAKE’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FWRG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • CAKE’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • FWRG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, CAKE is a better buy in the short-term than FWRG.

Price Growth

CAKE (@Restaurants) experienced а +2.77% price change this week, while FWRG (@Restaurants) price change was -4.24% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Restaurants industry was -1.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.44%.

Reported Earning Dates

CAKE is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2026.

FWRG is expected to report earnings on Mar 10, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Restaurants (-1.08% weekly)

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
CAKE($2.57B) has a higher market cap than FWRG($964M). FWRG has higher P/E ratio than CAKE: FWRG (197.38) vs CAKE (15.70). CAKE YTD gains are higher at: 11.132 vs. FWRG (-15.153). CAKE has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 294M vs. FWRG (93.7M). CAKE has more cash in the bank: 190M vs. FWRG (20.7M). FWRG has less debt than CAKE: FWRG (982M) vs CAKE (2.14B). CAKE has higher revenues than FWRG: CAKE (3.71B) vs FWRG (1.17B).
CAKEFWRGCAKE / FWRG
Capitalization2.57B964M267%
EBITDA294M93.7M314%
Gain YTD11.132-15.153-73%
P/E Ratio15.70197.388%
Revenue3.71B1.17B317%
Total Cash190M20.7M918%
Total Debt2.14B982M218%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
CAKE: Fundamental Ratings
CAKE
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
25
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
33
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
64
SMR RATING
1..100
23
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
54
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
68
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
50

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
CAKEFWRG
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
73%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
75%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
68%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
76%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
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CAKE
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
FWRG
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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CAKE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAKE has been closely correlated with BJRI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CAKE jumps, then BJRI could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To CAKE
1D Price
Change %
CAKE100%
+1.10%
BJRI - CAKE
67%
Closely correlated
+0.22%
KRUS - CAKE
62%
Loosely correlated
+3.05%
SHAK - CAKE
61%
Loosely correlated
+0.19%
TXRH - CAKE
60%
Loosely correlated
+2.17%
FWRG - CAKE
58%
Loosely correlated
+1.35%
More

FWRG and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FWRG has been loosely correlated with CAKE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FWRG jumps, then CAKE could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FWRG
1D Price
Change %
FWRG100%
+1.35%
CAKE - FWRG
58%
Loosely correlated
+1.10%
KRUS - FWRG
56%
Loosely correlated
+3.05%
DIN - FWRG
54%
Loosely correlated
-0.97%
BJRI - FWRG
50%
Loosely correlated
+0.22%
FRSH - FWRG
49%
Loosely correlated
-0.16%
More