AAOI vs CIEN
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AAOI is a Hold and CIEN is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AAOI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCIEN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AAOI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CIEN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AAOI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CIEN’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AAOI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CIEN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AAOI (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а +30.05% price change this week, while CIEN (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was +14.94% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was +3.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.89%.
Reported Earning Dates
AAOI is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2025.
CIEN is expected to report earnings on Jun 05, 2025.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (+3.83% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
| AAOI | CIEN | AAOI / CIEN | |
| Capitalization | 532M | 7.11B | 7% |
| EBITDA | -26.18M | 532M | -5% |
| Gain YTD | -64.542 | -21.613 | 299% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 31.94 | - |
| Revenue | 218M | 4.37B | 5% |
| Total Cash | 45.4M | 1.37B | 3% |
| Total Debt | 121M | 1.61B | 8% |
AAOI | CIEN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 21 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 65 Fair valued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 87 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AAOI's Valuation (65) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as CIEN (87). This means that AAOI’s stock grew similarly to CIEN’s over the last 12 months.
CIEN's Profit vs Risk Rating (55) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as AAOI (82). This means that CIEN’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
CIEN's SMR Rating (87) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as AAOI (98). This means that CIEN’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
CIEN's Price Growth Rating (55) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as AAOI (65). This means that CIEN’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
CIEN's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as AAOI (5). This means that CIEN’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
| AAOI | CIEN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 85% | 26 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 64% |
AAOI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAOI has been loosely correlated with LITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AAOI jumps, then LITE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AAOI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 100% | +4.06% | ||
| LITE - AAOI | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.13% | ||
| CIEN - AAOI | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.82% | ||
| UI - AAOI | 52% Loosely correlated | +1.93% | ||
| HPE - AAOI | 47% Loosely correlated | +1.54% | ||
| MSI - AAOI | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.18% | ||
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CIEN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CIEN has been closely correlated with LITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CIEN jumps, then LITE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CIEN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIEN | 100% | +0.82% | ||
| LITE - CIEN | 69% Closely correlated | +0.13% | ||
| ZBRA - CIEN | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.12% | ||
| CSCO - CIEN | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| BDC - CIEN | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| VIAV - CIEN | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.10% | ||
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