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Aug 21, 2024

Dow Drops 1000 Points Amid Tech Troubles and Currency Volatility

The stock market experienced significant losses as investors sold off U.S. shares and exited positions in the Japanese yen, which has been appreciating against the dollar due to interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. The Dow dropped by 1,033 points (2.6%), the S&P 500 fell by 3%, and the Nasdaq declined by 3.4%.

Technology stocks, particularly those tied to artificial intelligence, were hit hard. Nvidia fell by 6.7%, and Intel dropped over 7%. The downturn followed a weaker-than-expected July jobs report, sparking fears that high interest rates might be stifling the U.S. economy.

The market rout deepened as investors unwound "carry trades," which involved borrowing in yen at low interest rates to invest in higher-yielding assets. The yen strengthened after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to a 15-year high, leading to further market declines.

In response to the turmoil, Treasury yields dipped as investors sought the safety of government bonds. Despite the sell-off, analysts suggest the U.S. economy remains fundamentally sound, though the Federal Reserve faces pressure to cut rates.

Goldman Sachs and other banks now predict multiple rate cuts from the Fed later this year to stimulate the economy. Rising unemployment and the Sahm rule, which signals a recession, add to concerns. However, some analysts argue that the market's decline is more about investor positioning than underlying economic weakness.

Related Ticker: NVDA

Aroon Indicator for NVDA shows an upward move is likely

NVDA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 20, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 320 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 320 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 370 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NVDA moved out of overbought territory on June 13, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on June 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

NVDA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (41.841) is slightly higher than the industry average of (9.025). P/E Ratio (46.403) is within average values for comparable stocks, (61.282). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.784) is also within normal values, averaging (2.264). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.020). P/S Ratio (23.981) is also within normal values, averaging (32.378).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 55.77B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 3.51T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.51T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. PXLW experienced the highest price growth at 100%, while ICG experienced the biggest fall at -34%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 50%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 7 (-100 ... +100)
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NVDA
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General Information

a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
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Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2788 San Tomas Expressway
Phone
+1 408 486-2000
Employees
29600
Web
https://www.nvidia.com
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