Dow Drops 1000 Points Amid Tech Troubles and Currency Volatility
The stock market experienced significant losses as investors sold off U.S. shares and exited positions in the Japanese yen, which has been appreciating against the dollar due to interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. The Dow dropped by 1,033 points (2.6%), the S&P 500 fell by 3%, and the Nasdaq declined by 3.4%.
Technology stocks, particularly those tied to artificial intelligence, were hit hard. Nvidia fell by 6.7%, and Intel dropped over 7%. The downturn followed a weaker-than-expected July jobs report, sparking fears that high interest rates might be stifling the U.S. economy.
The market rout deepened as investors unwound "carry trades," which involved borrowing in yen at low interest rates to invest in higher-yielding assets. The yen strengthened after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to a 15-year high, leading to further market declines.
In response to the turmoil, Treasury yields dipped as investors sought the safety of government bonds. Despite the sell-off, analysts suggest the U.S. economy remains fundamentally sound, though the Federal Reserve faces pressure to cut rates.
Goldman Sachs and other banks now predict multiple rate cuts from the Fed later this year to stimulate the economy. Rising unemployment and the Sahm rule, which signals a recession, add to concerns. However, some analysts argue that the market's decline is more about investor positioning than underlying economic weakness.
NVDA's Stochastic Oscillator descending into oversold zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for NVDA moved into oversold territory on December 16, 2024. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 375 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 367 cases where NVDA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NVDA moved out of overbought territory on November 08, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 13, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on November 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
NVDA moved below its 50-day moving average on December 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 16, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (49.020) is slightly higher than the industry average of (11.040). P/E Ratio (52.112) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.382). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.822) is also within normal values, averaging (3.157). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.021). P/S Ratio (28.986) is also within normal values, averaging (47.677).
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General Information
a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software
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