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Jul 23, 2024

$ATXS, $CBAY, $ARDX, $VKTX: Metabolic Biotech Stocks Surge 10.24% in a Week

In the past week, biotechnology companies focusing on metabolic treatments have shown a notable performance increase of +10.24%. However, a deeper analysis reveals a negative outlook for these companies, as indicated by various technical indicators and market trends. Here's a comprehensive breakdown of key elements affecting this sector.

Group Tickers: The companies within this metabolic biotech theme include Intercept Pharmaceuticals (ICPT), Astria Therapeutics (ATXS), CymaBay Therapeutics (CBAY), Ardelyx (ARDX), Viking Therapeutics (VKTX), Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL), and Rhythm Pharmaceuticals (RYTM).

Stock Outlook: Despite the recent positive performance, the 15-indicator Stock Fear & Greed Index suggests a negative outlook. Tickeron predicts a further decline of over 4.00% within the next month, with a confidence level of 72%. The daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes over the past month was 2.46 to 1, reinforcing the prevailing negative sentiment.

Market Capitalization: The average market capitalization for the group stands at 1.6 billion dollars. The range is broad, with MDGL holding the highest valuation at 3.9 billion dollars and ATXS being the least valued at 171 million dollars.

Price Movements: While the average weekly price growth was 5.21%, the monthly and quarterly averages were more substantial at 22.14% and 72.85%, respectively. Notable mentions include ARDX experiencing the highest price growth at 31.94%, while RYTM saw a decline of -3.22%.

Noteworthy Events:

  • Viking Therapeutics (VKTX): Notably, VKTX emerged as a top weekly gainer with a +9.32% jump.
  • Ardelyx (ARDX): In a previous week, ARDX also saw a significant weekly gain of +10.45%, with expectations of an uptrend continuation.
  • CymaBay Therapeutics (CBAY): CBAY, on the other hand, was a top loser for the week, declining by -7.1%.

Volume Analysis: Volume growth across the group was robust, with average weekly, monthly, and quarterly volume growth rates of 27.1%, 43.89%, and 260.1%, respectively. Notably, there were sporadic instances of substantial volume spikes, such as Astria Therapeutics experiencing a record-breaking daily growth of 531% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average.

Individual Stock Analysis:

  1. ATXS (Astria Therapeutics):

    • Aroon Indicator: The Aroon Indicator for ATXS shows a bullish signal, indicating a potential upward move. Historical data reveals a 90% success rate in similar situations, with a recent +61% uptrend.
  2. CBAY (CymaBay Therapeutics):

    • MACD Histogram: CBAY's MACD Histogram turned negative, suggesting a bearish outlook. Historical analysis indicates an 81% likelihood of a downward move, despite a recent uptrend of +15%.
  3. ARDX (Ardelyx):

    • Aroon Indicator: ARDX's Aroon Indicator signals a likely upward move. With an 87% historical success rate, the recent +63% uptrend strengthens the potential for further positive movement.

Summary: While recent performance figures suggest positive momentum in the biotech metabolic sector, caution is warranted. The negative outlook, as indicated by the Stock Fear & Greed Index and Tickeron's predictions, coupled with sporadic volume spikes and individual stock signals, emphasizes the volatility and uncertainty in this space. Investors should closely monitor these developments and consider a diversified approach to mitigate risks in this dynamic market.

Related Ticker: ATXS, CBAY, ARDX, VKTX, MDGL, RYTM, ICPT

Momentum Indicator for ATXS turns positive, indicating new upward trend

ATXS saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 16, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 86 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

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Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ARWR), Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX), Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (NASDAQ:ADPT), Nektar Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NKTR).

Industry description

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Biotechnology Industry is 3.01B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 151 to 531.37B. NONOF holds the highest valuation in this group at 531.37B. The lowest valued company is MYMX at 151.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. NDTP experienced the highest price growth at 178%, while ABIO experienced the biggest fall at -89%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was 110%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 116% and the average quarterly volume growth was 75%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 86
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 94
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: -12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a developer of new medicines for the treatment of cardiovascular, metabolic and inflammatory diseases

Industry Biotechnology

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Biotechnology
Address
75 State Street
Phone
+1 617 349-1971
Employees
59
Web
https://www.astriatx.com
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